Is a Principled Vote a Vote Specific to the NDP, the Liberal, or the Conservative Party?

March 22, 2025

Breaking the Myth: A Principled Vote is Not a Partisan Vote

As the Muslim community engages in discussions about principled voting, concerns have emerged that this approach might lead to partisanship or unintended consequences. Some fear that it could push the community toward a single party or inadvertently result in a Conservative government with pro-Trump policies on Palestine and the Muslim community. Others worry that it might simply divide the vote in a way that undermines our collective influence.

However, after a year of analyzing the principled vote, the reality is clear:

đź“Ś A principled vote is not a partisan vote.
đź“Ś It does not endorse a single party.
📌 It does not operate as a “reward or punish” approach at a party level.

Instead, a principled vote is designed to encourage individual candidates to engage with the Muslim community’s concerns, align with values of justice and human rights, and take a clear stance on Palestine, Islamophobia, and other pressing issues. Just as every constituency has specific local concerns that shape how its residents vote, the Muslim community has the right to vote based on its principles, not party loyalty.

Data-Driven Insights on the Principled Vote

A riding-by-riding analysis has provided a clear picture of how principled voting will affect this election outcome. The data demonstrates that when Muslim voters evaluate individual candidates—rather than just party affiliations—the results reflect a diverse selection of candidates across multiple parties:

Polling & Election Projections

According to Mainstreet polling data from March 2025, the current projections show a majority Liberal government:

  • Liberal Majority: 179 seats (52% of legislature)
  • Conservatives: 127 seats (37%)
  • NDP: 6 seats (2%)

However, when applying the principled vote approach, a more strategic and value-driven voting pattern emerges, leading to a minority Liberal government:

  • Liberals: 153 seats (45%)
  • Conservatives: 139 seats (40%)
  • NDP: 22 seats (7%)

đź“Ś These numbers are based on polling data available at the time of analysis. Polling results shift from week to week, and this projection represents a snapshot of how principled voting could influence the election at the time the election was called.

This results in a Liberal minority government with a stronger NDP opposition, allowing the Muslim vote to carry real influence without being reduced to a partisan tool.

Why This Approach Strengthens the Muslim Community

📌 It holds politicians accountable—supporting those who stand up for justice and not supporting those who undermine our values.
đź“Ś It ensures that every political party takes the Muslim vote seriously, instead of assuming our automatic loyalty.
📌 It removes the fear of “vote splitting” and instead unites the community around clear, shared principles.

A Principled Community is a Powerful Community

By maintaining a principled approach, the Muslim community emerges from the 2025 election stronger than ever. Every political party will know that our vote cannot be taken for granted—that we will only support candidates who align with our values and stand for justice.

📢 This election, let’s vote with principle, not fear. Let’s shape a future where our voices truly matter.